COVID-19 Forecast

The spread of COVID-19 has already caused immense tragedy and economic loss. As we plan for the future, it is important to understand how COVID-19 cases are likely to evolve. However, the evolution of COVID-19 depends on how much we, as a country, continue to social distance or return back to normal levels of interaction.

An important input to our model is the level of social distancing. Given that, it is important to understand how social distancing has evolved over time. Click here to see our SafeGraph Social Distancing Index by State.

Use the buttons below to select different reopening strategies, revealing the predicted numbers of daily and cumulative cases based on our model.

Latest forecasts as of 11/12/2020. Forecasts are updated bi-weekly.