Forecast COVID-19 cases in the US under different levels of social distancing
COVID-19 Forecast
The spread of COVID-19 has already caused immense tragedy and economic loss. As we plan for the future, it is important to understand how COVID-19 cases are likely to evolve. However, the evolution of COVID-19 depends on how much we, as a country, continue to social distance or return back to normal levels of interaction.
We have developed a forecast model for social distancing by combining historic COVID-19 case data, public US statistical data, and mobility data provided by SafeGraph. See below for our derived Social Distancing Index by State.
Use the buttons below to select different reopening strategies, revealing the predicted numbers of daily and cumulative cases based on our model.
Latest forecasts as of 06/10/2020. Forecasts are updated weekly
SafeGraph Social Distancing Index (by State)
An important factor to understanding the evolution of COVID-19 cases is to understand social distancing. Thus, we derived the SafeGraph Social Distancing Index, and plot it at the national and state level.
Choose a state below to see its Social Distancing Index graph